Peakflow Forecasts Header

NESTUCCA--NEAR BEAVER
   State:  Oregon    County:  TILLAMOOK
   Latitude:  45 15' 58" North    Longitude:  123 50' 49" West
   Elevation:  43 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Portland    
   Action Stage:  16'   Flood Stage:  18'
   Major Flood Stage:  
21'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

NESTUCCA--NEAR BEAVER   (BEAO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-25
Forecast Period: April 25 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 6.41 1054 2024-04-27
90 % 6.41 1054 2024-04-27
70 % 6.41 1054 2024-04-27
50 % 6.75 1365 2024-05-08
30 % 7.27 1879 2024-05-22
10 % 8.01 2685 2024-06-07
05 % 8.52 3512 2024-06-09

Peakflow exceedence plot for BEAO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon