Peakflow Forecasts Header

CHEHALIS--NEAR CENTRALIA
   State:  Washington    County:  LEWIS
   Latitude:  46 42' 42" North    Longitude:  122 58' 43" West
   Elevation:  185 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  166'   Flood Stage:  168.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  172'
   Major Flood Stage:  
175.5'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

CHEHALIS--NEAR CENTRALIA   (CENW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-24
Forecast Period: April 24 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 154.98 1426 2024-05-04
90 % 154.98 1426 2024-05-04
70 % 154.99 1428 2024-05-04
50 % 156.14 2095 2024-05-14
30 % 157.42 3027 2024-05-30
10 % 159.04 4541 2024-06-12
05 % 160.90 6799 2024-06-14

Peakflow exceedence plot for CENW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon