Peakflow Forecasts Header

CARBON--NEAR FAIRFAX
   State:  Washington    County:  PIERCE
   Latitude:  47 2' 0" North    Longitude:  122 1' 59" West
   Elevation:  1213 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  11.6'   Flood Stage:  13.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  14.5'
   Major Flood Stage:  15'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

CARBON--NEAR FAIRFAX   (FFXW1)
Forecasts for Water Year 2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-25
 Forecast Period: April 25 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability 		Stage
feet 		Discharge
CFS 		Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 8.34 731 2024-05-10
90 % 8.41 763 2024-05-12
70 % 8.78 946 2024-05-21
50 % 9.72 1592 2024-06-02
30 % 10.23 2106 2024-06-08
10 % 10.60 2553 2024-06-21
05 % 11.56 3883 2024-06-28

Peakflow exceedence plot for FFXW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon