Peakflow Forecasts Header

SKAGIT--NEAR MT VERNON
   State:  Washington    County:  SKAGIT
   Latitude:  48 27' 0" North    Longitude:  122 20' 0" West
   Elevation:  0 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  23.5'   Flood Stage:  28'   Moderate Flood Stage:  30'
   Major Flood Stage:  
32'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

SKAGIT--NEAR MT VERNON   (MVEW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-24
Forecast Period: April 24 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 16.72 21159 2024-05-15
90 % 16.84 21524 2024-05-16
70 % 17.91 24808 2024-06-01
50 % 19.01 28403 2024-06-09
30 % 20.96 35258 2024-06-14
10 % 26.65 59034 2024-07-12
05 % 28.74 69104 2024-07-24

Peakflow exceedence plot for MVEW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon