Peakflow Forecasts Header

PACIFIC CREEK--AT MORAN
   State:  Wyoming    County:  TETON
   Latitude:  43 51' 0" North    Longitude:  110 32' 0" West
   Elevation:  6720 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Riverton    
   Action Stage:  7.5'   Flood Stage:  8.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  9.5'
   Major Flood Stage:  
15'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

PACIFIC CREEK--AT MORAN   (PACW4)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-26
Forecast Period: April 26 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 7.12 1652 2024-05-14
90 % 7.17 1719 2024-05-17
70 % 7.36 1977 2024-05-21
50 % 7.45 2104 2024-05-27
30 % 7.52 2213 2024-06-02
10 % 7.83 2748 2024-06-09
05 % 7.96 2982 2024-06-13

Peakflow exceedence plot for PACW4

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon