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| MCKAY CREEK--NEAR PILOT ROCK | |
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| Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks. |
| MCKAY CREEK--NEAR PILOT ROCK (MYKO3) Forecasts for Water Year 2027 Ensemble Date: 2026-10-09 Forecast Period: October 9 to February 1 | |||
| Exceedence Probability | Stage feet | Discharge CFS | Probable Date of Peak |
| 95 % | 4.12 | 260 | 2026-11-23 |
| 90 % | 4.39 | 355 | 2026-11-30 |
| 70 % | 4.62 | 466 | 2026-12-20 |
| 50 % | 4.96 | 654 | 2027-01-01 |
| 30 % | 5.08 | 718 | 2027-01-14 |
| 10 % | 5.69 | 1030 | 2027-01-29 |
| 05 % | 6.24 | 1296 | 2027-01-31 |
