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| ENTIAT--NEAR ARDENVOIR (ARDW1) |
County: CHELAN     State: WA |
| Elevation: 1561 (feet)      Latitude: 47 49' 6"    Longitude: 120 25' 18" |
| Flood Stage: 7.50 (feet)      Bankfull Stage: 6.00 (feet) |
|   | Error (feet) -- Lead Time in Hours | |||||||||||
| Forecast Time (GMT) | 6 | 12 | 18 | 24 | 30 | 36 | 42 | 48 | 54 | 60 | 66 | 72 |
| 2021-04-28 15:20:00 | -0.03 | -0.068 | -0.168 | -0.218 | -0.126 | -0.023 | -0.054 | 0.034 | 0.179 | 0.226 | 0.033 | -0.08 |
| 2021-04-28 23:49:00 | 0.031 | 0.004 | 0.004 | 0.104 | 0.201 | 0.162 | 0.232 | 0.357 | 0.396 | 0.206 | 0.1 | 0.085 |
| 2021-04-29 15:37:00 | 0.116 | 0.224 | 0.195 | 0.268 | 0.392 | 0.434 | 0.256 | 0.164 | 0.153 | 0.046 | -0.106 | -0.284 |
| 2021-04-29 22:53:00 | 0.144 | 0.148 | 0.252 | 0.391 | 0.438 | 0.267 | 0.182 | 0.17 | 0.059 | -0.093 | -0.265 | -0.298 |
| 2021-04-30 15:32:00 | 0.185 | 0.263 | 0.116 | 0.044 | 0.043 | -0.052 | -0.181 | -0.328 | -0.339 | -0.393 | -0.521 | -0.565 |
| 2021-04-30 23:47:00 | 0.016 | -0.029 | -0.079 | -0.06 | -0.144 | -0.261 | -0.393 | -0.39 | -0.435 | -0.551 | -0.582 | -0.533 |
| 2021-05-01 01:05:00 | -0.086 | -0.133 | -0.113 | -0.196 | -0.313 | -0.445 | -0.442 | -0.486 | -0.6 | -0.63 | -0.579 | -0.544 |
| 2021-05-01 13:16:00 | 0.001 | -0.097 | -0.231 | -0.379 | -0.394 | -0.458 | -0.593 | -0.642 | -0.612 | -0.596 | -0.686 | -0.695 |
| 2021-05-01 16:47:00 | 0.029 | -0.097 | -0.246 | -0.399 | -0.413 | -0.479 | -0.62 | -0.669 | -0.633 | -0.62 | -0.726 | -0.755 |
| 2021-05-01 21:29:00 | -0.095 | -0.245 | -0.405 | -0.422 | -0.489 | -0.629 | -0.679 | -0.652 | -0.651 | -0.76 | -0.79 | -0.735 |
| 2021-05-02 13:31:00 | -0.039 | -0.128 | -0.296 | -0.379 | -0.39 | -0.427 | -0.574 | -0.643 | -0.626 | -0.642 | -0.774 | - - |
| 2021-05-02 17:23:00 | -0.044 | -0.137 | -0.305 | -0.388 | -0.397 | -0.431 | -0.574 | -0.643 | -0.628 | -0.649 | -0.784 | - - |
| 2021-05-02 23:17:00 | -0.006 | -0.161 | -0.218 | -0.226 | -0.334 | -0.547 | -0.633 | -0.629 | -0.653 | -0.793 | - - | - - |
| 2021-05-03 13:36:00 | -0.01 | -0.062 | -0.226 | -0.322 | -0.341 | -0.389 | -0.55 | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
| 2021-05-03 15:50:00 | 0.046 | 0.066 | -0.083 | -0.174 | -0.186 | -0.228 | -0.37 | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
| 2021-05-03 17:38:00 | 0.046 | 0.066 | -0.083 | -0.174 | -0.186 | -0.228 | -0.37 | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
| 2021-05-03 22:39:00 | 0.002 | -0.133 | -0.21 | -0.21 | -0.242 | -0.377 | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
| 2021-05-04 16:18:00 | -0.023 | -0.074 | -0.228 | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
|   | Error (feet) -- Lead Time in Hours | |||||||||||
| Forecast Time (GMT) | 6 | 12 | 18 | 24 | 30 | 36 | 42 | 48 | 54 | 60 | 66 | 72 |
| 2021-05-04 22:22:00 | -0.023 | -0.074 | -0.228 | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
| Percent Bias | 0.40 | -0.83 | -3.20 | -3.99 | -4.22 | -6.00 | -8.21 | -8.21 | -8.32 | -9.91 | -11.47 | -10.67 |
| Mean Absolute Error (feet) | 0.05 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| RMSE (feet) | 0.07 | 0.14 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.38 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.52 |