Peakflow Forecasts Header

CLARK FORK--ABOVE MISSOULA
   State:  Montana    County:  MISSOULA
   Latitude:  46 52' 37" North    Longitude:  113 55' 53" West
   Elevation:  3198 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Missoula    
   Action Stage:  7'   Flood Stage:  7.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  11'
   Major Flood Stage:  
13'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

CLARK FORK--ABOVE MISSOULA   (ABOM8)
Forecasts for Water Year
2022
Ensemble Date: 2021-12-07
Forecast Period: December 7 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 2.81 1616 2021-12-08
90 % 2.81 1616 2021-12-08
70 % 3.02 1925 2022-03-17
50 % 3.22 2241 2022-03-24
30 % 3.52 2774 2022-03-29
10 % 3.95 3624 2022-04-01
05 % 4.22 4214 2022-04-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for ABOM8

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon