Peakflow Forecasts Header

NISQUALLY--ALDER RESERVOIR
   State:  Washington    County:  PIERCE
   Latitude:  46 48' 9" North    Longitude:  122 18' 37" West
   Elevation:  1210 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Inflow Data  

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

NISQUALLY--ALDER RESERVOIR   (ALRW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-05-12
Forecast Period: May 12 to September 1
Exceedence
Probability
Inflow
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 1299 2025-05-24
90 % 1430 2025-05-26
70 % 1586 2025-06-01
50 % 2380 2025-06-05
30 % 2795 2025-06-13
10 % 4906 2025-06-27
05 % 5823 2025-07-11

Peakflow exceedence plot for ALRW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon