Peakflow Forecasts Header

NISQUALLY--ALDER RESERVOIR
   State:  Washington    County:  PIERCE
   Latitude:  46 48' 9" North    Longitude:  122 18' 37" West
   Elevation:  1210 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Inflow Data  

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

NISQUALLY--ALDER RESERVOIR   (ALRW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-07-02
Forecast Period: July 2 to November 1
Exceedence
Probability
Inflow
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 850 2025-07-02
90 % 850 2025-07-02
70 % 1705 2025-10-12
50 % 2250 2025-10-22
30 % 2860 2025-10-28
10 % 8380 2025-11-01
05 % 12609 2025-11-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for ALRW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon