Peakflow Forecasts Header

NISQUALLY--ALDER RESERVOIR
   State:  Washington    County:  PIERCE
   Latitude:  46 48' 9" North    Longitude:  122 18' 37" West
   Elevation:  1210 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Inflow Data  

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

NISQUALLY--ALDER RESERVOIR   (ALRW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2026
Ensemble Date: 2025-12-06
Forecast Period: December 6 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Inflow
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 20232 2025-12-09
90 % 20232 2025-12-09
70 % 20232 2025-12-09
50 % 20232 2025-12-09
30 % 20232 2025-12-09
10 % 27737 2026-02-08
05 % 31572 2026-02-24

Peakflow exceedence plot for ALRW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon