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STILLAGUAMISH--NEAR ARLINGTON
   State:  Washington    County:  SNOHOMISH
   Latitude:  48 12' 13" North    Longitude:  122 7' 41" West
   Elevation:  65 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  12.5'   Flood Stage:  14'   Moderate Flood Stage:  17.5'
   Major Flood Stage:  19'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

STILLAGUAMISH--NEAR ARLINGTON   (ARLW1)
Forecasts for Water Year 2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-07-14
 Forecast Period: July 14 to November 1
Exceedence
Probability 		Stage
feet 		Discharge
CFS 		Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 2.22 2214 2025-09-02
90 % 3.71 3894 2025-09-30
70 % 5.90 8734 2025-10-13
50 % 7.44 13116 2025-10-24
30 % 9.56 19679 2025-10-27
10 % 13.25 32336 2025-10-31
05 % 13.90 34748 2025-11-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for ARLW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon