Peakflow Forecasts Header

PUDDING--AT AURORA
   State:  Oregon    County:  MARION
   Latitude:  45 14' 0" North    Longitude:  122 45' 1" West
   Elevation:  72 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Portland    
   Action Stage:  21'   Flood Stage:  22'   Moderate Flood Stage:  26'
   Major Flood Stage:  29'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

PUDDING--AT AURORA   (AURO3)
Forecasts for Water Year 2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-07-02
 Forecast Period: July 2 to November 1
Exceedence
Probability 		Stage
feet 		Discharge
CFS 		Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 6.14 199 2025-07-31
90 % 6.63 276 2025-09-10
70 % 7.82 500 2025-10-13
50 % 8.55 665 2025-10-23
30 % 9.34 864 2025-10-30
10 % 13.04 2060 2025-11-01
05 % 15.10 2875 2025-11-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for AURO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon