Peakflow Forecasts Header

PUDDING--AT AURORA
   State:  Oregon    County:  MARION
   Latitude:  45 14' 0" North    Longitude:  122 45' 1" West
   Elevation:  72 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Portland    
   Action Stage:  21'   Flood Stage:  22'   Moderate Flood Stage:  26'
   Major Flood Stage:  
29'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

PUDDING--AT AURORA   (AURO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2022
Ensemble Date: 2021-12-08
Forecast Period: December 8 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 16.97 3710 2021-12-23
90 % 17.39 3926 2021-12-28
70 % 20.19 5558 2022-01-12
50 % 21.80 6877 2022-01-27
30 % 23.09 8434 2022-02-13
10 % 25.88 13764 2022-03-15
05 % 26.66 16582 2022-03-29

Peakflow exceedence plot for AURO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon