Peakflow Forecasts Header

NESTUCCA--NEAR BEAVER
   State:  Oregon    County:  TILLAMOOK
   Latitude:  45 15' 58" North    Longitude:  123 50' 49" West
   Elevation:  43 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Portland    
   Action Stage:  16'   Flood Stage:  18'   Moderate Flood Stage:  20'
   Major Flood Stage:  21'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

NESTUCCA--NEAR BEAVER   (BEAO3)
Forecasts for Water Year 2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-05-15
 Forecast Period: May 15 to September 1
Exceedence
Probability 		Stage
feet 		Discharge
CFS 		Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 5.04 297 2025-05-16
90 % 5.04 297 2025-05-16
70 % 5.04 297 2025-05-16
50 % 5.49 511 2025-06-03
30 % 6.30 1080 2025-06-10
10 % 6.94 1684 2025-06-24
05 % 7.93 2742 2025-07-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for BEAO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon