Peakflow Forecasts Header

NESTUCCA--NEAR BEAVER
   State:  Oregon    County:  TILLAMOOK
   Latitude:  45 16' 0" North    Longitude:  123 50' 44" West
   Elevation:  43 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Portland    
   Action Stage:  16'   Flood Stage:  18'
   Major Flood Stage:  
21'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

NESTUCCA--NEAR BEAVER   (BEAO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2022
Ensemble Date: 2021-12-08
Forecast Period: December 8 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 8.22 3708 2021-12-21
90 % 8.38 3922 2021-12-24
70 % 9.94 6128 2022-01-10
50 % 12.40 9883 2022-01-17
30 % 13.87 12360 2022-02-01
10 % 14.54 13523 2022-03-05
05 % 15.70 15618 2022-03-30

Peakflow exceedence plot for BEAO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon