Peakflow Forecasts Header

CLARK FORK--BELOW MISSOULA
   State:  Montana    County:  MISSOULA
   Latitude:  46 52' 9" North    Longitude:  114 7' 32" West
   Elevation:  3084 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Missoula    
   Action Stage:  10.5'   Flood Stage:  11'   Moderate Flood Stage:  12'
   Major Flood Stage:  
13'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

CLARK FORK--BELOW MISSOULA   (BELM8)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-23
Forecast Period: April 23 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 5.43 13011 2024-05-10
90 % 5.50 13305 2024-05-14
70 % 6.02 15483 2024-05-21
50 % 6.34 16861 2024-05-28
30 % 6.56 17868 2024-06-03
10 % 7.34 21616 2024-06-13
05 % 8.14 25790 2024-06-19

Peakflow exceedence plot for BELM8

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon