Peakflow Forecasts Header

BUFFALO FK--AB LAVA CR NR MORAN
   State:  Wyoming    County:  TETON
   Latitude:  43 50' 16" North    Longitude:  110 26' 27" West
   Elevation:  6773 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Riverton    
   Action Stage:  8'   Flood Stage:  8.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  9'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

BUFFALO FK--AB LAVA CR NR MORAN   (BFKW4)
Forecasts for Water Year
2026
Ensemble Date: 2026-02-06
Forecast Period: February 6 to June 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 2.59 878 2026-05-13
90 % 3.20 1264 2026-05-18
70 % 3.85 1699 2026-05-23
50 % 4.90 2395 2026-05-28
30 % 5.64 2886 2026-06-01
10 % 6.22 3288 2026-06-01
05 % 6.32 3405 2026-06-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for BFKW4

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon