Peakflow Forecasts Header

BUFFALO FK--AB LAVA CR NR MORAN
   State:  Wyoming    County:  TETON
   Latitude:  43 50' 16" North    Longitude:  110 26' 27" West
   Elevation:  6773 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Riverton    
   Action Stage:  8'   Flood Stage:  8.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  9'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

BUFFALO FK--AB LAVA CR NR MORAN   (BFKW4)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-05-12
Forecast Period: May 12 to September 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 5.02 2451 2025-05-28
90 % 5.27 2616 2025-05-31
70 % 5.90 3036 2025-06-07
50 % 6.33 3394 2025-06-11
30 % 6.61 3734 2025-06-15
10 % 7.09 4399 2025-06-25
05 % 7.29 4714 2025-07-03

Peakflow exceedence plot for BFKW4

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon