Peakflow Forecasts Header

BUFFALO FK--AB LAVA CR NR MORAN
   State:  Wyoming    County:  TETON
   Latitude:  43 50' 16" North    Longitude:  110 26' 27" West
   Elevation:  6773 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Riverton    
   Action Stage:  8'   Flood Stage:  8.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  9'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

BUFFALO FK--AB LAVA CR NR MORAN   (BFKW4)
Forecasts for Water Year
2027
Ensemble Date: 2026-10-05
Forecast Period: October 5 to February 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 1.02 189 2026-10-12
90 % 1.02 189 2026-10-12
70 % 1.02 189 2026-10-12
50 % 1.02 189 2026-10-12
30 % 1.19 244 2026-10-24
10 % 1.34 300 2026-11-06
05 % 1.62 415 2026-11-08

Peakflow exceedence plot for BFKW4

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon