Peakflow Forecasts Header

CHEHALIS--NEAR CENTRALIA
   State:  Washington    County:  LEWIS
   Latitude:  46 42' 42" North    Longitude:  122 58' 43" West
   Elevation:  185 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  166'   Flood Stage:  168.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  172'
   Major Flood Stage:  
175.5'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

CHEHALIS--NEAR CENTRALIA   (CENW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-25
Forecast Period: April 25 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 154.79 1324 2024-05-02
90 % 154.79 1324 2024-05-02
70 % 154.79 1324 2024-05-02
50 % 155.97 1988 2024-05-16
30 % 157.24 2886 2024-06-03
10 % 158.30 3794 2024-06-12
05 % 160.44 6177 2024-06-15

Peakflow exceedence plot for CENW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon