Peakflow Forecasts Header

DEER CREEK--NEAR ROSEBURG
   State:  Oregon    County:  DOUGLAS
   Latitude:  43 13' 8" North    Longitude:  123 16' 44" West
   Elevation:  493 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    
   Action Stage:  8'   Flood Stage:  10'   Moderate Flood Stage:  13'
   Major Flood Stage:  
15'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

DEER CREEK--NEAR ROSEBURG   (DEEO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2027
Ensemble Date: 2026-10-13
Forecast Period: October 13 to February 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 4.00 182 2026-11-19
90 % 6.00 577 2026-11-24
70 % 8.00 1588 2026-12-13
50 % 9.00 2005 2026-12-28
30 % 11.00 2667 2027-01-09
10 % 13.00 4116 2027-01-19
05 % 13.00 4563 2027-01-24

Peakflow exceedence plot for DEEO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon