Peakflow Forecasts Header

DEER CREEK--NEAR ROSEBURG
   State:  Oregon    County:  DOUGLAS
   Latitude:  43 13' 8" North    Longitude:  123 16' 44" West
   Elevation:  493 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    
   Action Stage:  8'   Flood Stage:  10'   Moderate Flood Stage:  13'
   Major Flood Stage:  
15'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

DEER CREEK--NEAR ROSEBURG   (DEEO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2026
Ensemble Date: 2026-02-06
Forecast Period: February 6 to June 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 4.00 216 2026-02-09
90 % 4.00 216 2026-02-09
70 % 5.00 345 2026-02-20
50 % 7.00 987 2026-03-03
30 % 8.00 1447 2026-03-24
10 % 10.00 2539 2026-04-12
05 % 12.00 3608 2026-04-22

Peakflow exceedence plot for DEEO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon