Peakflow Forecasts Header

DEER CREEK--NEAR ROSEBURG
   State:  Oregon    County:  DOUGLAS
   Latitude:  43 13' 8" North    Longitude:  123 16' 44" West
   Elevation:  493 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    
   Action Stage:  8'   Flood Stage:  10'   Moderate Flood Stage:  13'
   Major Flood Stage:  
15'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

DEER CREEK--NEAR ROSEBURG   (DEEO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-07-05
Forecast Period: July 5 to November 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 2.34 6 2025-07-27
90 % 2.45 7 2025-08-23
70 % 2.80 9 2025-10-01
50 % 3.00 12 2025-10-17
30 % 3.00 64 2025-10-26
10 % 4.00 146 2025-10-31
05 % 4.00 191 2025-11-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for DEEO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon