Peakflow Forecasts Header

DEER CREEK--NEAR ROSEBURG
   State:  Oregon    County:  DOUGLAS
   Latitude:  43 13' 12" North    Longitude:  123 16' 12" West
   Elevation:  690 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    
   Action Stage:  8'   Flood Stage:  10'   Moderate Flood Stage:  13'
   Major Flood Stage:  
15'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

DEER CREEK--NEAR ROSEBURG   (DEEO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2022
Ensemble Date: 2021-12-08
Forecast Period: December 8 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 4.00 179 2021-12-22
90 % 5.00 523 2021-12-27
70 % 9.00 1623 2022-01-05
50 % 9.00 2090 2022-01-19
30 % 11.00 2662 2022-02-07
10 % 12.00 3563 2022-03-01
05 % 12.00 3796 2022-03-28

Peakflow exceedence plot for DEEO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon