Peakflow Forecasts Header

ELK CREEK--NEAR DRAIN
   State:  Oregon    County:  DOUGLAS
   Latitude:  43 37' 48" North    Longitude:  123 16' 48" West
   Elevation:  689 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    
   Action Stage:  14'   Flood Stage:  16'   Moderate Flood Stage:  18'
   Major Flood Stage:  
20'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

ELK CREEK--NEAR DRAIN   (ECDO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2022
Ensemble Date: 2021-12-07
Forecast Period: December 7 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 6.54 1162 2021-12-13
90 % 6.94 1309 2021-12-21
70 % 9.46 2457 2022-01-01
50 % 11.62 3752 2022-01-18
30 % 12.87 4642 2022-02-02
10 % 15.65 6937 2022-02-22
05 % 16.45 7661 2022-03-25

Peakflow exceedence plot for ECDO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon