Peakflow Forecasts Header

ELK CREEK--NEAR DRAIN
   State:  Oregon    County:  DOUGLAS
   Latitude:  43 37' 48" North    Longitude:  123 16' 48" West
   Elevation:  689 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    
   Action Stage:  14'   Flood Stage:  16'   Moderate Flood Stage:  18'
   Major Flood Stage:  
20'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

ELK CREEK--NEAR DRAIN   (ECDO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-05-14
Forecast Period: May 14 to September 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 1.18 36 2025-05-18
90 % 1.18 36 2025-05-18
70 % 1.18 36 2025-05-18
50 % 1.18 36 2025-05-18
30 % 1.28 46 2025-06-01
10 % 1.95 118 2025-06-22
05 % 3.56 361 2025-07-16

Peakflow exceedence plot for ECDO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon