Peakflow Forecasts Header

ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL
   State:  Oregon    County:  JACKSON
   Latitude:  42 40' 30" North    Longitude:  122 44' 38" West
   Elevation:  1455 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL   (ELKO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-05-12
Forecast Period: May 12 to September 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 4.28 110 2025-05-13
90 % 4.28 110 2025-05-13
70 % 4.28 110 2025-05-13
50 % 4.33 120 2025-05-20
30 % 4.64 184 2025-06-01
10 % 5.15 299 2025-06-10
05 % 5.73 488 2025-07-03

Peakflow exceedence plot for ELKO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon