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| ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL | |
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| Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks. |
| ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL (ELKO3) Forecasts for Water Year 2026 Ensemble Date: 2025-11-15 Forecast Period: November 15 to March 1 | |||
| Exceedence Probability | Stage feet | Discharge CFS | Probable Date of Peak |
| 95 % | 5.96 | 574 | 2025-12-05 |
| 90 % | 6.68 | 936 | 2025-12-09 |
| 70 % | 8.02 | 1872 | 2025-12-27 |
| 50 % | 9.19 | 2950 | 2026-01-08 |
| 30 % | 10.57 | 4248 | 2026-01-19 |
| 10 % | 11.66 | 5449 | 2026-02-15 |
| 05 % | 12.59 | 6601 | 2026-02-18 |
