Peakflow Forecasts Header

ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL
   State:  Oregon    County:  JACKSON
   Latitude:  42 40' 30" North    Longitude:  122 44' 38" West
   Elevation:  1455 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL   (ELKO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2026
Ensemble Date: 2026-07-15
Forecast Period: July 15 to November 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 3.04 2 2026-08-12
90 % 3.10 3 2026-09-11
70 % 3.36 12 2026-10-14
50 % 3.69 34 2026-10-25
30 % 4.10 81 2026-10-29
10 % 4.48 150 2026-11-01
05 % 5.09 282 2026-11-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for ELKO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon