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| ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL | |
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| Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks. |
| ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL (ELKO3) Forecasts for Water Year 2027 Ensemble Date: 2026-10-13 Forecast Period: October 13 to February 1 | |||
| Exceedence Probability | Stage feet | Discharge CFS | Probable Date of Peak |
| 95 % | 5.64 | 436 | 2026-11-23 |
| 90 % | 6.65 | 851 | 2026-12-03 |
| 70 % | 8.11 | 1730 | 2026-12-17 |
| 50 % | 9.23 | 2638 | 2026-12-31 |
| 30 % | 10.89 | 4351 | 2027-01-13 |
| 10 % | 12.16 | 5988 | 2027-01-22 |
| 05 % | 12.76 | 6835 | 2027-01-25 |
