Peakflow Forecasts Header

ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL
   State:  Oregon    County:  JACKSON
   Latitude:  42 40' 30" North    Longitude:  122 44' 38" West
   Elevation:  1455 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL   (ELKO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-23
Forecast Period: April 23 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 4.48 347 2024-04-27
90 % 4.48 347 2024-04-27
70 % 4.48 347 2024-04-27
50 % 4.48 347 2024-04-27
30 % 4.48 347 2024-04-27
10 % 6.19 953 2024-05-25
05 % 6.58 1143 2024-06-04

Peakflow exceedence plot for ELKO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon