Peakflow Forecasts Header

ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL
   State:  Oregon    County:  JACKSON
   Latitude:  42 40' 30" North    Longitude:  122 44' 38" West
   Elevation:  1455 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL   (ELKO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2026
Ensemble Date: 2026-03-14
Forecast Period: March 14 to July 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 4.61 179 2026-03-15
90 % 4.61 179 2026-03-15
70 % 5.16 302 2026-04-06
50 % 5.93 561 2026-04-13
30 % 6.57 874 2026-04-24
10 % 7.73 1644 2026-05-13
05 % 10.12 3806 2026-06-02

Peakflow exceedence plot for ELKO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon