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| ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL | |
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| Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks. |
| ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL (ELKO3) Forecasts for Water Year 2022 Ensemble Date: 2021-12-08 Forecast Period: December 8 to April 1 | |||
| Exceedence Probability | Stage feet | Discharge CFS | Probable Date of Peak |
| 95 % | 5.29 | 602 | 2021-12-23 |
| 90 % | 5.67 | 753 | 2021-12-31 |
| 70 % | 7.51 | 1743 | 2022-01-15 |
| 50 % | 8.50 | 2450 | 2022-02-09 |
| 30 % | 9.04 | 2887 | 2022-02-20 |
| 10 % | 10.42 | 4154 | 2022-03-18 |
| 05 % | 11.74 | 5566 | 2022-03-28 |
