Peakflow Forecasts Header

ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL
   State:  Oregon    County:  JACKSON
   Latitude:  42 40' 30" North    Longitude:  122 44' 38" West
   Elevation:  1455 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL   (ELKO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-06-30
Forecast Period: June 30 to October 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 3.42 16 2025-06-30
90 % 3.42 16 2025-06-30
70 % 3.42 16 2025-06-30
50 % 3.42 16 2025-06-30
30 % 3.64 30 2025-07-30
10 % 4.36 126 2025-09-23
05 % 4.71 197 2025-09-28

Peakflow exceedence plot for ELKO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon