Peakflow Forecasts Header

ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL
   State:  Oregon    County:  JACKSON
   Latitude:  42 40' 30" North    Longitude:  122 44' 38" West
   Elevation:  1455 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

ELK CREEK--NEAR TRAIL   (ELKO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2022
Ensemble Date: 2021-12-08
Forecast Period: December 8 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 5.29 602 2021-12-23
90 % 5.67 753 2021-12-31
70 % 7.51 1743 2022-01-15
50 % 8.50 2450 2022-02-09
30 % 9.04 2887 2022-02-20
10 % 10.42 4154 2022-03-18
05 % 11.74 5566 2022-03-28

Peakflow exceedence plot for ELKO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon