Peakflow Forecasts Header

NF FLATHEAD--NEAR COLUMBIA FALLS
   State:  Montana    County:  FLATHEAD
   Latitude:  48 29' 44" North    Longitude:  114 7' 36" West
   Elevation:  3145 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Missoula    
   Action Stage:  12.5'   Flood Stage:  13'   Moderate Flood Stage:  17'
   Major Flood Stage:  
19'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

NF FLATHEAD--NEAR COLUMBIA FALLS   (FCFM8)
Forecasts for Water Year
2026
Ensemble Date: 2026-01-16
Forecast Period: January 16 to May 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 4.19 3938 2026-04-13
90 % 4.72 5096 2026-04-16
70 % 5.37 6741 2026-04-23
50 % 5.98 8330 2026-04-26
30 % 6.49 9729 2026-04-29
10 % 7.45 12669 2026-05-01
05 % 8.50 16276 2026-05-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for FCFM8

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon