Peakflow Forecasts Header

CARBON--NEAR FAIRFAX
   State:  Washington    County:  PIERCE
   Latitude:  47 2' 0" North    Longitude:  122 1' 59" West
   Elevation:  1213 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  11.6'   Flood Stage:  13.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  14.5'
   Major Flood Stage:  
15'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

CARBON--NEAR FAIRFAX   (FFXW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2022
Ensemble Date: 2021-12-08
Forecast Period: December 8 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 9.00 1449 2021-12-12
90 % 9.00 1449 2021-12-12
70 % 9.94 2301 2021-12-30
50 % 10.85 3378 2022-01-08
30 % 11.87 4799 2022-01-29
10 % 13.02 6665 2022-03-13
05 % 13.57 7660 2022-03-22

Peakflow exceedence plot for FFXW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon