Peakflow Forecasts Header

CARBON--NEAR FAIRFAX
   State:  Washington    County:  PIERCE
   Latitude:  47 2' 0" North    Longitude:  122 1' 59" West
   Elevation:  1213 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  11.6'   Flood Stage:  13.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  14.5'
   Major Flood Stage:  
15'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

CARBON--NEAR FAIRFAX   (FFXW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-24
Forecast Period: April 24 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 8.41 763 2024-05-08
90 % 8.49 800 2024-05-11
70 % 9.10 1137 2024-05-19
50 % 9.75 1624 2024-06-01
30 % 10.28 2170 2024-06-07
10 % 10.65 2623 2024-06-21
05 % 11.59 3924 2024-06-28

Peakflow exceedence plot for FFXW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon