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| LONG TOM--FERN RIDGE DAM | |
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| Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks. |
| LONG TOM--FERN RIDGE DAM (FRNO3) Forecasts for Water Year 2026 Ensemble Date: 2026-09-10 Forecast Period: September 10 to January 1 | |||
| Exceedence Probability | Inflow CFS | Probable Date of Peak | |
| 95 % | 1046 | 2026-11-17 | |
| 90 % | 1560 | 2026-11-22 | |
| 70 % | 2254 | 2026-12-07 | |
| 50 % | 3786 | 2026-12-14 | |
| 30 % | 6959 | 2026-12-21 | |
| 10 % | 16756 | 2026-12-29 | |
| 05 % | 21682 | 2026-12-30 | |