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| LONG TOM--FERN RIDGE DAM | |
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| Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks. |
| LONG TOM--FERN RIDGE DAM (FRNO3) Forecasts for Water Year 2026 Ensemble Date: 2025-11-14 Forecast Period: November 14 to March 1 | |||
| Exceedence Probability | Inflow CFS | Probable Date of Peak | |
| 95 % | 1249 | 2025-12-13 | |
| 90 % | 1498 | 2025-12-22 | |
| 70 % | 3269 | 2026-01-03 | |
| 50 % | 4090 | 2026-01-19 | |
| 30 % | 8056 | 2026-02-02 | |
| 10 % | 17018 | 2026-02-22 | |
| 05 % | 20320 | 2026-02-25 | |
