Peakflow Forecasts Header

SKYKOMISH--NEAR GOLD BAR
   State:  Washington    County:  SNOHOMISH
   Latitude:  47 50' 7" North    Longitude:  121 39' 36" West
   Elevation:  209 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  12.2'   Flood Stage:  15'   Moderate Flood Stage:  17'
   Major Flood Stage:  
19'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

SKYKOMISH--NEAR GOLD BAR   (GLBW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-05-14
Forecast Period: May 14 to September 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 8.16 5705 2025-05-25
90 % 8.43 6316 2025-05-28
70 % 9.03 7878 2025-06-01
50 % 10.05 10838 2025-06-04
30 % 10.48 12198 2025-06-11
10 % 11.79 16909 2025-07-04
05 % 13.80 25944 2025-07-23

Peakflow exceedence plot for GLBW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon