Peakflow Forecasts Header

BIG LOST--AT HOWELL RANCH NEAR CHILLY
   State:  Idaho    County:  CUSTER
   Latitude:  43 59' 54" North    Longitude:  114 1' 16" West
   Elevation:  6622 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Pocatello    
   Action Stage:  3.51'   Flood Stage:  4'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

BIG LOST--AT HOWELL RANCH NEAR CHILLY   (HWRI1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-07-15
Forecast Period: July 15 to November 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 1.33 207 2025-07-16
90 % 1.33 207 2025-07-16
70 % 1.33 207 2025-07-16
50 % 1.33 207 2025-07-16
30 % 1.33 207 2025-07-16
10 % 1.44 243 2025-08-11
05 % 1.78 386 2025-10-08

Peakflow exceedence plot for HWRI1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon