Peakflow Forecasts Header

BEAR CREEK--AT MEDFORD
   State:  Oregon    County:  JACKSON
   Latitude:  42 19' 59" North    Longitude:  122 52' 0" West
   Elevation:  1342 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    
   Action Stage:  8'   Flood Stage:  10'   Moderate Flood Stage:  13'
   Major Flood Stage:  
14'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

BEAR CREEK--AT MEDFORD   (MFDO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2022
Ensemble Date: 2021-12-08
Forecast Period: December 8 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 3.16 136 2021-12-31
90 % 3.27 168 2022-01-04
70 % 3.81 355 2022-01-31
50 % 4.57 652 2022-02-18
30 % 5.22 940 2022-03-10
10 % 6.66 1659 2022-03-30
05 % 7.46 2144 2022-04-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for MFDO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon