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| BEAR CREEK--AT MEDFORD | |
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| Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks. |
| BEAR CREEK--AT MEDFORD (MFDO3) Forecasts for Water Year 2024 Ensemble Date: 2024-04-24 Forecast Period: April 24 to August 1 | |||
| Exceedence Probability | Stage feet | Discharge CFS | Probable Date of Peak |
| 95 % | 3.43 | 224 | 2024-04-27 |
| 90 % | 3.43 | 224 | 2024-04-27 |
| 70 % | 3.43 | 224 | 2024-04-27 |
| 50 % | 3.45 | 230 | 2024-05-08 |
| 30 % | 3.81 | 357 | 2024-05-18 |
| 10 % | 4.42 | 592 | 2024-05-31 |
| 05 % | 4.81 | 757 | 2024-06-05 |
