Peakflow Forecasts Header

BEAR CREEK--AT MEDFORD
   State:  Oregon    County:  JACKSON
   Latitude:  42 19' 59" North    Longitude:  122 52' 0" West
   Elevation:  1342 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    
   Action Stage:  8'   Flood Stage:  10'   Moderate Flood Stage:  13'
   Major Flood Stage:  
14'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

BEAR CREEK--AT MEDFORD   (MFDO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2026
Ensemble Date: 2026-06-05
Forecast Period: June 5 to October 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 3.00 100 2026-06-09
90 % 3.00 100 2026-06-09
70 % 3.00 100 2026-06-09
50 % 3.10 125 2026-07-10
30 % 3.20 151 2026-09-03
10 % 3.38 209 2026-09-26
05 % 3.44 229 2026-09-28

Peakflow exceedence plot for MFDO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon