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| BEAR CREEK--AT MEDFORD | |
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| Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks. |
| BEAR CREEK--AT MEDFORD (MFDO3) Forecasts for Water Year 2026 Ensemble Date: 2026-06-05 Forecast Period: June 5 to October 1 | |||
| Exceedence Probability | Stage feet | Discharge CFS | Probable Date of Peak |
| 95 % | 3.00 | 100 | 2026-06-09 |
| 90 % | 3.00 | 100 | 2026-06-09 |
| 70 % | 3.00 | 100 | 2026-06-09 |
| 50 % | 3.10 | 125 | 2026-07-10 |
| 30 % | 3.20 | 151 | 2026-09-03 |
| 10 % | 3.38 | 209 | 2026-09-26 |
| 05 % | 3.44 | 229 | 2026-09-28 |