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| BEAR CREEK--AT MEDFORD | |
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| Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks. |
| BEAR CREEK--AT MEDFORD (MFDO3) Forecasts for Water Year 2022 Ensemble Date: 2021-12-08 Forecast Period: December 8 to April 1 | |||
| Exceedence Probability | Stage feet | Discharge CFS | Probable Date of Peak |
| 95 % | 3.16 | 136 | 2021-12-31 |
| 90 % | 3.27 | 168 | 2022-01-04 |
| 70 % | 3.81 | 355 | 2022-01-31 |
| 50 % | 4.57 | 652 | 2022-02-18 |
| 30 % | 5.22 | 940 | 2022-03-10 |
| 10 % | 6.66 | 1659 | 2022-03-30 |
| 05 % | 7.46 | 2144 | 2022-04-01 |
