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| BEAR CREEK--AT MEDFORD | |
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| Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks. |
| BEAR CREEK--AT MEDFORD (MFDO3) Forecasts for Water Year 2025 Ensemble Date: 2025-07-03 Forecast Period: July 3 to November 1 | |||
| Exceedence Probability | Stage feet | Discharge CFS | Probable Date of Peak |
| 95 % | 2.95 | 83 | 2025-07-18 |
| 90 % | 2.95 | 84 | 2025-08-08 |
| 70 % | 3.10 | 118 | 2025-09-24 |
| 50 % | 3.22 | 149 | 2025-10-05 |
| 30 % | 3.32 | 178 | 2025-10-20 |
| 10 % | 3.60 | 278 | 2025-10-29 |
| 05 % | 3.72 | 322 | 2025-11-01 |
