Peakflow Forecasts Header

BIG BUTTE CREEK--NEAR MCLEOD
   State:  Oregon    County:  JACKSON
   Latitude:  42 39' 0" North    Longitude:  122 40' 59" West
   Elevation:  1526 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

BIG BUTTE CREEK--NEAR MCLEOD   (MLBO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2022
Ensemble Date: 2021-12-08
Forecast Period: December 8 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 4.21 395 2021-12-20
90 % 4.29 421 2021-12-22
70 % 5.18 802 2022-01-09
50 % 5.86 1182 2022-01-26
30 % 6.46 1583 2022-02-28
10 % 7.03 2005 2022-03-30
05 % 7.21 2146 2022-04-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for MLBO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon