Peakflow Forecasts Header

BIG BUTTE CREEK--NEAR MCLEOD
   State:  Oregon    County:  JACKSON
   Latitude:  42 39' 0" North    Longitude:  122 40' 59" West
   Elevation:  1526 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

BIG BUTTE CREEK--NEAR MCLEOD   (MLBO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-07-13
Forecast Period: July 13 to November 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 2.82 68 2025-08-12
90 % 2.92 82 2025-08-24
70 % 3.00 96 2025-10-05
50 % 3.16 126 2025-10-16
30 % 3.44 190 2025-10-23
10 % 3.87 319 2025-10-31
05 % 4.09 390 2025-11-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for MLBO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon