Peakflow Forecasts Header

BIG BUTTE CREEK--NEAR MCLEOD
   State:  Oregon    County:  JACKSON
   Latitude:  42 39' 0" North    Longitude:  122 40' 59" West
   Elevation:  1526 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

BIG BUTTE CREEK--NEAR MCLEOD   (MLBO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-05-12
Forecast Period: May 12 to September 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 3.30 156 2025-05-13
90 % 3.30 156 2025-05-13
70 % 3.30 156 2025-05-13
50 % 3.30 156 2025-05-13
30 % 3.53 214 2025-05-31
10 % 4.17 414 2025-06-13
05 % 4.71 617 2025-07-11

Peakflow exceedence plot for MLBO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon