Peakflow Forecasts Header

BIG BUTTE CREEK--NEAR MCLEOD
   State:  Oregon    County:  JACKSON
   Latitude:  42 39' 0" North    Longitude:  122 40' 59" West
   Elevation:  1526 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

BIG BUTTE CREEK--NEAR MCLEOD   (MLBO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2026
Ensemble Date: 2026-08-16
Forecast Period: August 16 to December 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 2.86 75 2026-10-04
90 % 3.01 100 2026-10-15
70 % 3.37 176 2026-11-07
50 % 3.68 261 2026-11-19
30 % 4.14 407 2026-11-23
10 % 5.63 1059 2026-11-29
05 % 6.20 1386 2026-11-30

Peakflow exceedence plot for MLBO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon