Peakflow Forecasts Header

BIG BUTTE CREEK--NEAR MCLEOD
   State:  Oregon    County:  JACKSON
   Latitude:  42 39' 0" North    Longitude:  122 40' 59" West
   Elevation:  1526 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

BIG BUTTE CREEK--NEAR MCLEOD   (MLBO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-24
Forecast Period: April 24 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 3.55 200 2024-04-27
90 % 3.55 200 2024-04-27
70 % 3.55 200 2024-04-27
50 % 3.60 216 2024-05-06
30 % 4.18 397 2024-05-18
10 % 5.09 763 2024-06-04
05 % 5.24 838 2024-06-13

Peakflow exceedence plot for MLBO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon