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| BIG BUTTE CREEK--NEAR MCLEOD | |
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| Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks. |
| BIG BUTTE CREEK--NEAR MCLEOD (MLBO3) Forecasts for Water Year 2022 Ensemble Date: 2021-12-08 Forecast Period: December 8 to April 1 | |||
| Exceedence Probability | Stage feet | Discharge CFS | Probable Date of Peak |
| 95 % | 4.21 | 395 | 2021-12-20 |
| 90 % | 4.29 | 421 | 2021-12-22 |
| 70 % | 5.18 | 802 | 2022-01-09 |
| 50 % | 5.86 | 1182 | 2022-01-26 |
| 30 % | 6.46 | 1583 | 2022-02-28 |
| 10 % | 7.03 | 2005 | 2022-03-30 |
| 05 % | 7.21 | 2146 | 2022-04-01 |
