Peakflow Forecasts Header

SKAGIT--NEAR MT VERNON
   State:  Washington    County:  SKAGIT
   Latitude:  48 27' 0" North    Longitude:  122 20' 0" West
   Elevation:  0 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  23.5'   Flood Stage:  28'   Moderate Flood Stage:  30'
   Major Flood Stage:  32'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

SKAGIT--NEAR MT VERNON   (MVEW1)
Forecasts for Water Year 2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-23
 Forecast Period: April 23 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability 		Stage
feet 		Discharge
CFS 		Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 16.67 21033 2024-05-13
90 % 16.71 21135 2024-05-16
70 % 17.93 24855 2024-05-30
50 % 18.85 27855 2024-06-08
30 % 20.78 34610 2024-06-14
10 % 26.44 58081 2024-07-12
05 % 28.59 68331 2024-07-24

Peakflow exceedence plot for MVEW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon