Peakflow Forecasts Header

SKAGIT--NEAR MT VERNON
   State:  Washington    County:  SKAGIT
   Latitude:  48 27' 0" North    Longitude:  122 20' 0" West
   Elevation:  0 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  23.5'   Flood Stage:  28'   Moderate Flood Stage:  30'
   Major Flood Stage:  
32'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

SKAGIT--NEAR MT VERNON   (MVEW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2022
Ensemble Date: 2021-12-07
Forecast Period: December 7 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 22.36 40286 2021-12-13
90 % 22.36 40286 2021-12-13
70 % 22.56 41038 2021-12-21
50 % 26.55 58453 2022-01-11
30 % 29.39 73125 2022-02-06
10 % 34.45 103225 2022-02-25
05 % 35.43 109659 2022-03-19

Peakflow exceedence plot for MVEW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon