Peakflow Forecasts Header

NISQUALLY--NEAR NATIONAL
   State:  Washington    County:  PIERCE
   Latitude:  46 45' 10" North    Longitude:  122 4' 57" West
   Elevation:  1450 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

NISQUALLY--NEAR NATIONAL   (NISW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2026
Ensemble Date: 2026-08-16
Forecast Period: August 16 to December 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 5.01 596 2026-09-08
90 % 5.72 1128 2026-10-01
70 % 6.53 2018 2026-11-04
50 % 7.17 2958 2026-11-12
30 % 8.43 5344 2026-11-21
10 % 11.00 12489 2026-11-26
05 % 11.75 15176 2026-11-28

Peakflow exceedence plot for NISW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon