Peakflow Forecasts Header

COWLITZ--AT PACKWOOD
   State:  Washington    County:  LEWIS
   Latitude:  46 37' 0" North    Longitude:  121 40' 59" West
   Elevation:  1048 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  8.2'   Flood Stage:  10.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  11'
   Major Flood Stage:  
12'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

COWLITZ--AT PACKWOOD   (PACW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-05-12
Forecast Period: May 12 to September 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 3.15 3077 2025-05-25
90 % 3.23 3208 2025-05-26
70 % 3.44 3566 2025-06-01
50 % 3.70 4028 2025-06-05
30 % 3.89 4383 2025-06-09
10 % 4.98 6776 2025-06-23
05 % 5.46 8003 2025-06-29

Peakflow exceedence plot for PACW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon