Peakflow Forecasts Header

COWLITZ--AT PACKWOOD
   State:  Washington    County:  LEWIS
   Latitude:  46 37' 0" North    Longitude:  121 40' 59" West
   Elevation:  1048 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  8.2'   Flood Stage:  10.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  11'
   Major Flood Stage:  
12'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

COWLITZ--AT PACKWOOD   (PACW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-06-30
Forecast Period: June 30 to October 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 2.17 1720 2025-07-01
90 % 2.17 1720 2025-07-01
70 % 2.17 1720 2025-07-01
50 % 2.17 1720 2025-07-01
30 % 2.17 1720 2025-07-01
10 % 2.66 2344 2025-09-24
05 % 3.30 3317 2025-09-30

Peakflow exceedence plot for PACW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon