Peakflow Forecasts Header

PROSPECT CREEK--AT THOMPSON FALLS
   State:  Montana    County:  SANDERS
   Latitude:  47 35' 9" North    Longitude:  115 21' 15" West
   Elevation:  2382 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Missoula    
   Action Stage:  6.5'   Flood Stage:  7.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  8'
   Major Flood Stage:  
9'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

PROSPECT CREEK--AT THOMPSON FALLS   (PRCM8)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-22
Forecast Period: April 22 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 3.09 546 2024-05-04
90 % 3.18 580 2024-05-06
70 % 3.53 713 2024-05-10
50 % 3.79 824 2024-05-19
30 % 4.17 1007 2024-05-26
10 % 4.77 1360 2024-06-07
05 % 5.04 1531 2024-06-12

Peakflow exceedence plot for PRCM8

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon