Peakflow Forecasts Header

SAUK--NEAR SAUK
   State:  Washington    County:  SKAGIT
   Latitude:  48 25' 28" North    Longitude:  121 34' 1" West
   Elevation:  266 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

SAUK--NEAR SAUK   (SAKW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-07-08
Forecast Period: July 8 to November 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 4.97 4204 2025-07-10
90 % 5.12 4534 2025-07-23
70 % 5.99 6680 2025-10-07
50 % 7.08 10361 2025-10-18
30 % 8.63 18262 2025-10-24
10 % 11.88 43363 2025-10-30
05 % 15.81 76250 2025-11-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for SAKW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon