Peakflow Forecasts Header

JOHN DAY--AT SERVICE CK
   State:  Oregon    County:  WHEELER
   Latitude:  44 47' 38" North    Longitude:  120 0' 20" West
   Elevation:  1632 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Pendleton    
   Action Stage:  10'   Flood Stage:  11.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  12.5'
   Major Flood Stage:  
15'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

JOHN DAY--AT SERVICE CK   (SERO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-07-12
Forecast Period: July 12 to November 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 2.55 378 2025-10-02
90 % 2.58 392 2025-10-16
70 % 2.66 425 2025-10-26
50 % 2.70 448 2025-10-29
30 % 2.76 474 2025-11-01
10 % 3.00 598 2025-11-01
05 % 3.25 746 2025-11-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for SERO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon