Peakflow Forecasts Header

SAMISH--NEAR BURLINGTON
   State:  Washington    County:  SKAGIT
   Latitude:  48 32' 44" North    Longitude:  122 20' 18" West
   Elevation:  0 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  9.99'   Flood Stage:  11.24'   Moderate Flood Stage:  15.16'
   Major Flood Stage:  
18.4'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

SAMISH--NEAR BURLINGTON   (SMRW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-05-15
Forecast Period: May 15 to September 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 5.16 138 2025-05-20
90 % 5.16 138 2025-05-20
70 % 5.16 138 2025-05-20
50 % 5.52 202 2025-05-29
30 % 5.97 302 2025-06-10
10 % 7.31 665 2025-07-04
05 % 7.87 855 2025-07-14

Peakflow exceedence plot for SMRW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon