Peakflow Forecasts Header

SOUTH PRAIRIE--AT SOUTH PRAIRIE
   State:  Washington    County:  PIERCE
   Latitude:  47 7' 59" North    Longitude:  122 4' 59" West
   Elevation:  430 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Seattle    
   Action Stage:  28.88'   Flood Stage:  29.64'   Moderate Flood Stage:  30.5'
   Major Flood Stage:  
31.63'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

SOUTH PRAIRIE--AT SOUTH PRAIRIE   (SPEW1)
Forecasts for Water Year
2027
Ensemble Date: 2026-10-05
Forecast Period: October 5 to February 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 26.18 453 2026-11-11
90 % 26.37 589 2026-11-25
70 % 27.81 1604 2026-12-23
50 % 28.93 2369 2027-01-01
30 % 30.18 3366 2027-01-09
10 % 31.41 4473 2027-01-24
05 % 32.10 5151 2027-01-28

Peakflow exceedence plot for SPEW1

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon