Peakflow Forecasts Header

STILLWATER--NEAR LAWRENCE PARK
   State:  Montana    County:  FLATHEAD
   Latitude:  48 13' 3" North    Longitude:  114 18' 44" West
   Elevation:  2953 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Missoula    
   Action Stage:  7'   Flood Stage:  7.5'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

STILLWATER--NEAR LAWRENCE PARK   (SRLM8)
Forecasts for Water Year
2022
Ensemble Date: 2021-12-07
Forecast Period: December 7 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 3.33 223 2022-01-10
90 % 3.37 236 2022-02-06
70 % 3.55 292 2022-03-18
50 % 3.64 322 2022-03-25
30 % 3.81 382 2022-03-28
10 % 4.30 585 2022-04-01
05 % 4.41 637 2022-04-01

Peakflow exceedence plot for SRLM8

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon