Peakflow Forecasts Header

STILLWATER--NEAR LAWRENCE PARK
   State:  Montana    County:  FLATHEAD
   Latitude:  48 13' 3" North    Longitude:  114 18' 44" West
   Elevation:  2953 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Missoula    
   Action Stage:  7'   Flood Stage:  7.5'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

STILLWATER--NEAR LAWRENCE PARK   (SRLM8)
Forecasts for Water Year
2027
Ensemble Date: 2026-10-13
Forecast Period: October 13 to February 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 2.84 95 2026-10-29
90 % 2.85 97 2026-10-31
70 % 2.92 114 2026-11-07
50 % 2.98 128 2026-11-16
30 % 3.11 163 2026-12-10
10 % 3.57 306 2027-01-18
05 % 3.87 415 2027-01-26

Peakflow exceedence plot for SRLM8

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon