Peakflow Forecasts Header

STILLWATER--NEAR LAWRENCE PARK
   State:  Montana    County:  FLATHEAD
   Latitude:  48 13' 3" North    Longitude:  114 18' 44" West
   Elevation:  2953 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Missoula    
   Action Stage:  7'   Flood Stage:  7.5'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

STILLWATER--NEAR LAWRENCE PARK   (SRLM8)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-03-27
Forecast Period: March 27 to July 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 5.25 1105 2024-04-23
90 % 5.37 1177 2024-04-25
70 % 5.65 1352 2024-05-02
50 % 5.85 1479 2024-05-08
30 % 6.23 1725 2024-05-22
10 % 6.45 1872 2024-06-03
05 % 6.87 2151 2024-06-09

Peakflow exceedence plot for SRLM8

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon