Peakflow Forecasts Header

SWAN--NEAR BIGFORK
   State:  Montana    County:  LAKE
   Latitude:  48 1' 27" North    Longitude:  113 58' 44" West
   Elevation:  3063 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Missoula    
   Action Stage:  6'   Flood Stage:  6.5'   Moderate Flood Stage:  7.5'
   Major Flood Stage:  
8'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

SWAN--NEAR BIGFORK   (SWRM8)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-05-12
Forecast Period: May 12 to September 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 4.91 3846 2025-05-25
90 % 5.04 4082 2025-05-27
70 % 5.24 4472 2025-06-03
50 % 5.57 5126 2025-06-09
30 % 5.84 5690 2025-06-15
10 % 6.12 6248 2025-06-22
05 % 6.52 7098 2025-06-29

Peakflow exceedence plot for SWRM8

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon