Peakflow Forecasts Header

S UMPQUA--AT TILLER
   State:  Oregon    County:  DOUGLAS
   Latitude:  42 55' 48" North    Longitude:  122 56' 48" West
   Elevation:  1040 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    
   Action Stage:  16'   Flood Stage:  18'   Moderate Flood Stage:  21'
   Major Flood Stage:  
25'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

S UMPQUA--AT TILLER   (TILO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-25
Forecast Period: April 25 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 5.72 2887 2024-04-27
90 % 5.72 2887 2024-04-27
70 % 5.72 2887 2024-04-27
50 % 5.72 2887 2024-04-27
30 % 5.91 3081 2024-05-07
10 % 8.39 6232 2024-05-31
05 % 9.71 8356 2024-06-03

Peakflow exceedence plot for TILO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon