Peakflow Forecasts Header

WILSON--NEAR TILLAMOOK
   State:  Oregon    County:  TILLAMOOK
   Latitude:  45 28' 33" North    Longitude:  123 43' 30" West
   Elevation:  42 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Portland    
   Action Stage:  10.5'   Flood Stage:  12'   Moderate Flood Stage:  15.5'
   Major Flood Stage:  
19'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

WILSON--NEAR TILLAMOOK   (TLMO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2022
Ensemble Date: 2021-12-08
Forecast Period: December 8 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 8.19 6020 2021-12-21
90 % 8.48 6664 2021-12-24
70 % 9.90 9880 2022-01-05
50 % 11.71 13466 2022-01-13
30 % 13.76 17596 2022-02-01
10 % 15.12 20383 2022-02-27
05 % 15.48 21124 2022-03-25

Peakflow exceedence plot for TLMO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon