Peakflow Forecasts Header

WILSON--NEAR TILLAMOOK
   State:  Oregon    County:  TILLAMOOK
   Latitude:  45 28' 31" North    Longitude:  123 43' 28" West
   Elevation:  42 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Portland    
   Action Stage:  10.5'   Flood Stage:  12'   Moderate Flood Stage:  15.5'
   Major Flood Stage:  
19'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

WILSON--NEAR TILLAMOOK   (TLMO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-04-25
Forecast Period: April 25 to August 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 4.82 850 2024-04-26
90 % 4.82 850 2024-04-26
70 % 4.82 851 2024-04-28
50 % 5.26 1327 2024-05-17
30 % 5.57 1730 2024-06-04
10 % 6.20 2754 2024-06-09
05 % 6.65 3568 2024-06-14

Peakflow exceedence plot for TLMO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon