Peakflow Forecasts Header

THOMAS CREEK--NEAR SCIO
   State:  Oregon    County:  LINN
   Latitude:  44 42' 43" North    Longitude:  122 46' 5" West
   Elevation:  380 feet    Gage Datum:  
   Supporting WFO:  Portland    
   Action Stage:  15.5'   Flood Stage:  18'
   Major Flood Stage:  
20'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

THOMAS CREEK--NEAR SCIO   (TRSO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2022
Ensemble Date: 2021-12-08
Forecast Period: December 8 to April 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 9.04 2077 2021-12-13
90 % 9.45 2328 2021-12-19
70 % 12.61 5347 2022-01-03
50 % 13.64 6707 2022-01-19
30 % 14.39 7809 2022-02-04
10 % 15.95 10361 2022-03-03
05 % 18.89 16211 2022-03-27

Peakflow exceedence plot for TRSO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon