Peakflow Forecasts Header

THOMAS CREEK--NEAR SCIO
   State:  Oregon    County:  LINN
   Latitude:  44 42' 43" North    Longitude:  122 46' 5" West
   Elevation:  380 feet    Gage Datum:  
   Supporting WFO:  Portland    
   Action Stage:  15.5'   Flood Stage:  18'   Moderate Flood Stage:  19'
   Major Flood Stage:  
20'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

THOMAS CREEK--NEAR SCIO   (TRSO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2025
Ensemble Date: 2025-05-15
Forecast Period: May 15 to September 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 5.48 278 2025-05-18
90 % 5.48 278 2025-05-18
70 % 5.48 278 2025-05-18
50 % 5.74 354 2025-05-31
30 % 6.52 645 2025-06-07
10 % 7.82 1338 2025-06-12
05 % 8.07 1500 2025-06-15

Peakflow exceedence plot for TRSO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon