Peakflow Forecasts Header

N UMPQUA--AT WINCHESTER
   State:  Oregon    County:  DOUGLAS
   Latitude:  43 16' 4" North    Longitude:  123 24' 33" West
   Elevation:  372 feet
   Supporting WFO:  Medford    
   Action Stage:  18'   Flood Stage:  26'   Moderate Flood Stage:  30'
   Major Flood Stage:  
31'

Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks.

N UMPQUA--AT WINCHESTER   (WNRO3)
Forecasts for Water Year
2024
Ensemble Date: 2024-03-28
Forecast Period: March 28 to July 1
Exceedence
Probability
Stage
feet
Discharge
CFS
Probable
Date of Peak
95 % 6.59 8944 2024-03-28
90 % 6.59 8944 2024-03-28
70 % 6.59 8944 2024-03-28
50 % 7.01 10116 2024-04-14
30 % 7.93 12967 2024-04-25
10 % 9.77 19153 2024-05-25
05 % 12.74 29634 2024-06-02

Peakflow exceedence plot for WNRO3

 Click to download runoff traces used in forecast.  Click for comma delimited data used in plot.csv icon