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| MORES CREEK--NR ARROWROCK DAM | |
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| Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks. |
| MORES CREEK--NR ARROWROCK DAM (MORI1) Forecasts for Water Year 2027 Ensemble Date: 2026-10-10 Forecast Period: October 10 to February 1 | |||
| Exceedence Probability | Stage feet | Discharge CFS | Probable Date of Peak |
| 95 % | 2.37 | 101 | 2026-11-01 |
| 90 % | 2.48 | 122 | 2026-11-17 |
| 70 % | 2.84 | 210 | 2026-12-12 |
| 50 % | 3.74 | 542 | 2027-01-02 |
| 30 % | 4.31 | 821 | 2027-01-15 |
| 10 % | 5.08 | 1286 | 2027-01-26 |
| 05 % | 5.33 | 1453 | 2027-01-30 |
