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| MORES CREEK--NR ARROWROCK DAM | |
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| Forecasts are calculated from a forecast time series that approximates flow at a 6 hour time step interval. Observed instantaneous peaks can be higher than model forecast peaks. |
| MORES CREEK--NR ARROWROCK DAM (MORI1) Forecasts for Water Year 2022 Ensemble Date: 2021-12-07 Forecast Period: December 7 to April 1 | |||
| Exceedence Probability | Stage feet | Discharge CFS | Probable Date of Peak |
| 95 % | 3.42 | 406 | 2022-02-11 |
| 90 % | 3.52 | 448 | 2022-02-22 |
| 70 % | 4.22 | 773 | 2022-03-10 |
| 50 % | 5.06 | 1272 | 2022-03-18 |
| 30 % | 5.60 | 1654 | 2022-03-23 |
| 10 % | 7.17 | 3017 | 2022-03-29 |
| 05 % | 8.05 | 3953 | 2022-03-31 |
